Bitcoin News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Bitcoin news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 22 active Bitcoin stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Stanford study ties $8.2M to suspected Polymarket Bitcoin manipulation
TradingPolymarket traders price 21% odds on Bitcoin hitting $70K by July end
TradingKalshi traders price Bitcoin below $50,000 this year
TradingPolymarket traders put 20% odds on Bitcoin hitting $70K in July
TradingKalshi traders price 80% odds Bitcoin stays below $100K through 2026
LegalCFTC approves first U.S. bitcoin perpetual futures for Kalshi and Coinbase
TradingPolymarket traders price 65% odds Bitcoin falls to $50,000 after inflation selloff
TradingRobinhood lists sub-hourly crypto prediction contracts via Kalshi, ForecastEx and Rothera
TradingKalshi traders price 69% odds bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000
TradingPolymarket user bets $9.5M on DR Congo World Cup win at 0.1% odds
TradingPolymarket lists five-minute Bitcoin direction contract as price markets reprice sharply
TradingKalshi traders raise Bitcoin below-$50K odds to 50% as spot demand hits January lows
StocksPolymarket UMA oracle upholds 'No' on Strategy bitcoin sale market amid trader backlash
TradingKalshi launches first CFTC-approved bitcoin perpetual futures for U.S. traders
DealsOKX launches crypto event contracts on BTC, ETH, and SOL
GlobalIndonesia blocks Polymarket over gambling as India also cuts access
TradingPolymarket traders slash crypto price odds across Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dogecoin
TradingPolymarket crypto odds flip bearish as Bitcoin slips below $79K
StocksKalshi launches Bitcoin up/down market using CF Benchmarks index
TradingBitcoin $150K May 2026 contracts draw heavy trading on Polymarket
TechBitcoin tops $79K as Hyperliquid launches BTC price prediction market
TradingHyperliquid launches binary prediction markets, targets Polymarket
Frequently Asked Questions
Does Kalshi offer Bitcoin perpetual futures?
Yes. The CFTC approved Bitcoin perpetual futures for Kalshi on May 29, 2026; the contracts launched on June 3.
What are Kalshi traders pricing for Bitcoin below $50,000?
As of early June 2026, Kalshi markets showed 50% odds of Bitcoin finishing the year below $50,000, up from 40% in late May.
Does Polymarket have short-term Bitcoin contracts?
Yes. Polymarket listed five-minute and hourly Bitcoin direction markets by early June 2026 alongside daily and monthly price contracts.
What probability do Kalshi traders assign to Bitcoin hitting $50,000 before $100,000?
Kalshi Crypto traders priced a 69% chance that Bitcoin reaches $50,000 before $100,000 as of June 13, 2026.
Are Robinhood users trading Bitcoin prediction contracts?
Yes. Robinhood Derivatives has listed sub-hourly Bitcoin contracts via Kalshi and other partner exchanges since early June 2026.