Bitcoin News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Bitcoin news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 25 active Bitcoin stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Kalshi Prime partners with BitGo to offer crypto-backed margin loans for futures
LegalSEC approves Cboe binary options on Coinbase volume and Bitcoin mining output
TradingPolymarket traders slash Bitcoin $77,500 October odds to 36%
TradingPolymarket rate-hike odds diverge from CME as bitcoin targets slide
TradingPolymarket Fed hike odds whip from 20% to 66% and back after hot CPI print
TradingPolymarket Bitcoin $80K odds spike to 72%, Kalshi sees 20% chance at $100K
TradingPolymarket debuts 15-minute Bitcoin contracts as New York sues and crypto odds shift
TradingBitcoin stalls near $85,000 as prediction markets and AI models split on year-end price
TradingKalshi Bitcoin $100K odds climb to 46%, September $90K target slips to 39%
TradingKalshi XRP contract falls to 32 cents as Robinhood lists rival market
TradingPolymarket Bitcoin odds shift after $80K near-miss
TradingKalshi Fed hike odds hit 88% as Polymarket holds $50M on no change
StocksPolymarket Clarity Act odds crater to 14% as Democrats balk at GOP ethics terms
TradingKalshi traders see 83% chance Bitcoin hits $100K before $50K
TradingBitcoin slides as Polymarket Clarity Act odds drop to 19%
TradingPolymarket launches 20x perpetual futures for global traders
TradingKalshi traders flip from bearish to bullish on September Bitcoin price
TradingPolymarket strings together daily Bitcoin contracts with fresh September listing
TradingPolymarket Ethereum odds swing 22 points in hour as $2,500 month-end contract hits 86%
TradingPolymarket Bitcoin $80K year-end odds double after $70K breakout
TradingKalshi traders price Bitcoin year-end below $80K despite 20% rally
TradingPolymarket traders price Bitcoin downside over $70K target, XRP below $1
TradingKalshi traders bet XRP retests $1 even as Bitcoin targets $67.5K–$68K
DealsRobinhood in talks with Crypto.com for prediction market contracts
TradingPolymarket traders price Ethereum at 17% chance to reach $3,000 in 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
Does Kalshi offer Bitcoin perpetual futures?
Yes. The CFTC approved Bitcoin perpetual futures for Kalshi on May 29, 2026; the contracts launched on June 3.
What are Kalshi traders pricing for Bitcoin below $50,000?
As of early June 2026, Kalshi markets showed 50% odds of Bitcoin finishing the year below $50,000, up from 40% in late May.
Does Polymarket have short-term Bitcoin contracts?
Yes. Polymarket listed five-minute and hourly Bitcoin direction markets by early June 2026 alongside daily and monthly price contracts.
What probability do Kalshi traders assign to Bitcoin hitting $50,000 before $100,000?
Kalshi Crypto traders priced a 69% chance that Bitcoin reaches $50,000 before $100,000 as of June 13, 2026.
Are Robinhood users trading Bitcoin prediction contracts?
Yes. Robinhood Derivatives has listed sub-hourly Bitcoin contracts via Kalshi and other partner exchanges since early June 2026.