Legal 7h ago

CFTC opens new Polymarket probe as senators demand investigation over fake bets

Why this matters?

Polymarket must defend its CFTC exchange designation against a live federal investigation while the staged-bet campaign forces the agency to judge whether the tactic was isolated or systemic. Any market-integrity finding puts its regulatory status at direct risk.

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Latest Legal headlines

Google engineer indicted for $1.2M insider trades on Polymarket

47h ago

Polymarket paid creators to stage $1.9 million in fake bets on dummy sites

2d ago

Polymarket says hackers stole $3 million via third-party vendor breach

2d ago

CFTC and SEC seek public comment on swaps definition as CME sues over Kalshi perpetuals

2d ago

Biden's former solicitor general Prelogar joins prediction market state defense

3d ago

Second consumer suit hits Robinhood over sports event contracts

3d ago

NCPG outlines $2m Kalshi donation for responsible trading initiative

5d ago

Kalshi blocks Indian users after technology ministry declares prediction markets illegal

6d ago

Michigan judge denies Polymarket and Robinhood injunction in sports contract case

6d ago

House panel advances bill barring Congress from Kalshi and Polymarket

7d ago

Polymarket ran secret influencer campaign targeting US users while pushing to unban international exchange

7d ago

Kentucky AG Coleman sues Kalshi and Polymarket over alleged illegal sports betting

8d ago

Legal Top Stories

CME plans to sue CFTC to block Kalshi's bitcoin perpetual futures

Kalshi to defend its perpetual-futures structure in court just as it races to convert $5.5 billion in two-week volume into sticky flow. An adverse ruling would compel Kalshi to restructure the product or exit the perps market entirely.

Trump Jr. received $300,000 equity stake in Kalshi

Kalshi's equity grant to Trump Jr. ties the platform's valuation prospects directly to the political fortune of the Trump family, making any future regulatory or legislative action against Kalshi a potential conflict-of-interest flashpoint for administration officials.

Novig wins CFTC approval to operate Ludlow Exchange as designated contract market

Novig must now launch and capture liquidity before DraftKings' DKeX clears its self-certified contracts and Robinhood scales its existing brokerage distribution. ProphetX's five-day launch shows that first-mover advantage in this window is measured in days, not months.

Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket sue to block Kentucky's 14.25% prediction markets tax

Kalshi and Polymarket must now defend Kentucky accounts from both Attorney General Coleman's state gambling suit and this tax challenge they filed against the same state. Any adverse ruling on either front risks forcing both platforms to geofence Kentucky while their federal CFTC registration is tested in preemption litigation.

Kalshi refers George Santos to DOJ and CFTC over State of the Union bets

Every CFTC-registered exchange must now demonstrate surveillance capable of catching insiders who trade on their own non-public schedules. Any platform that fails to self-report such abuse risks co-defendant exposure when DOJ and CFTC file parallel actions.

Kalshi sues Illinois to block July 1 prediction-market tax and licensing rules

Kalshi must now defend its Illinois accounts through federal preemption litigation while the state tax and licensing regime threatens to take effect in days. An adverse ruling or failed injunction would force the platform to either comply with state gambling oversight or geofence its second-most populous Midwest market.

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Press Releases

  1. Seventeen Democratic senators move to block CFTC funding for state prediction-market lawsuits
  2. Senators demand CFTC investigate Polymarket over fake bets report
  3. CFTC official asserts swap-structured event contracts fall within agency authority
  4. Nevada gaming board asks court to hold Kalshi in contempt over geofencing
  5. Merkley: Proposed CFTC rule falls short on curbing insider trading in prediction markets
  6. Nine House Democrats ask FTC to investigate prediction market platforms
  7. Slotkin, Klobuchar and Warren press prediction markets regulator over misconduct risks

Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets legal in the United States?

Yes — federally regulated event contracts are legal under CFTC oversight. Kalshi, ForecastEx, and Polymarket’s US arm operate as licensed Designated Contract Markets. Several states have challenged sports event contracts under state gambling law, but federal courts have so far sided with the federal frame.

Are sports event contracts legal?

They trade on CFTC-regulated venues today, but multiple states (New Jersey, Nevada, Maryland, Massachusetts, others) have argued they are sports betting under state law. Kalshi has won preliminary federal injunctions blocking enforcement in those cases. The legal frame is moving — the Legal section on this page tracks every ruling as it lands.

Can you bet on elections in the US?

Yes. After Kalshi won a federal court ruling in 2024, election event contracts have traded on US-regulated venues. Polymarket also re-opened to US users in 2025 via its QCEX acquisition.

What is the CFTC and what does it do?

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is the US federal regulator for derivatives markets, including event contracts. It licenses Designated Contract Markets like Kalshi and reviews self-certified contracts for compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act.

Has Kalshi been sued?

Yes — multiple state regulators (New Jersey, Nevada, Maryland, Massachusetts, others) issued cease-and-desist orders against Kalshi’s sports markets, and Kalshi has counter-sued in federal court arguing federal preemption. Federal courts have granted Kalshi preliminary injunctions in the major cases to date.

Are prediction markets considered gambling?

Federal law treats CFTC-regulated event contracts as derivatives, not gambling. Some state regulators disagree, particularly on sports contracts, and that disagreement is what most prediction-markets litigation is about.