Polymarket News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Polymarket news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 603 active Polymarket stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
South Africans wager R700 000 on Polymarket for Johannesburg mayor
LegalMaricopa County bans employee prediction market trading on insider info
TradingKalshi and Polymarket traders flip Messi and Yamal as Ballon d'Or favorite
OpinionPrediction market volumes climb as insider trading, tax, and regulatory risks mount
LegalFrance's gambling regulator orders ISPs to block Polymarket
DataWorld Cup final drives billions in bets on Kalshi and Polymarket
TradingPolymarket CLARITY Act odds hit record low 24%, whipsaw to 45% on Senate delay
LegalKalshi loses New York preemption fight, appeals to Second Circuit as Washington opens
LegalRep. Luna allegedly tipped MAGA influencer on Polymarket VP bet
TradingPolymarket baseball markets see repeated sharp repricing within hours
TradingWallet routes 31 BTC through Wasabi mixer for $1.16M Spain World Cup bet on Polymarket
LegalIrish regulator threatens Polymarket with High Court action
TradingKalshi and Polymarket price Spain 58% favorite over Argentina in World Cup final
TradingPolymarket Team Falcons Dota 2 win odds fall to 55.5%
TradingKalshi and Polymarket post record World Cup volumes as prediction markets surge
TradingKalshi adds 3 million users as World Cup drives $1.2 billion in new volume
LegalKalshi political insider-trading market draws nearly $6 million
TradingKalshi prices England and Argentina past Spain for World Cup final probability
OpinionNYT: Polymarket and Kalshi chiefs' rivalry turns personal
LegalCzech Republic orders ISPs to block Polymarket nationwide over gambling concerns
TradingMessi odds swing from 52% in Polymarket World Cup Golden Boot market
TradingKalshi traders push Miami Heat to 53% favorite for LeBron James
StocksPolymarket bettors price 88% odds on Rocket Lab drop to $64
TradingPolymarket Fed hike odds hold at 59-60% on jobs report and bond-ETF flows
LegalWhite House suspends teleprompter operator over Kalshi insider-trading probe
DealsPascal raises $9 million to challenge Polymarket and Kalshi with futures-style prediction markets
TradingJD Vance leads 2028 GOP nomination betting at 42% on Polymarket
TradingKalshi and AppliedXL launch CFTC-regulated biotech prediction markets
LegalFrance and Czech Republic order ISP blocks of Polymarket as unlicensed gambling
LegalRep. Krishnamoorthi demands details on Polymarket's paid influencer deals with election deniers
LegalExperts warn wildfire prediction markets could incentivize arson
TradingStanford study ties $8.2M to suspected Polymarket Bitcoin manipulation
TradingKalshi and Polymarket LeBron next-team odds swing on roster news and rumors
TradingPolymarket launches poker props as margin trading plan surfaces
TradingPolymarket Tesla-SpaceX merger odds cut to 11% for 2026
TradingHeroic win odds on Polymarket drop 23.5 points in Counter-Strike market
TradingPolymarket traders price The Odyssey at 99% to clear 80% on Rotten Tomatoes
TradingKalshi plans CFTC-regulated flight cancellation event contracts
LegalBipartisan Senate bill would ban sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated prediction markets
TradingPrediction markets hit record $113.8B Q2 volume as crypto markets cooled
TradingStanford study quantifies $8.2M in Polymarket Bitcoin contract manipulation
TradingPolymarket whales drive World Cup betting with $380K Norway-England wager and Spain winner buys
DealsBlockchain.com integrates Polymarket for 43 million users ahead of World Cup semifinals
TradingPolymarket's England-Argentina World Cup semifinal market draws high volume
LegalCFTC orders Kalshi to honor Michigan trades despite state court block
LegalCFTC sues Minnesota to block nation's first felony prediction market ban
TechPolymarket adds parlay-style Combo trades in sports push
TradingKalshi traders price Troy Jackson as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee after Platner suspends campaign
LegalSEC reviews 24-plus prediction market ETF proposals, drawing early pushback
LegalArizona governor and secretary of state ban state workers from prediction market insider trading
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Polymarket legal in the US?
As of June 2026, yes. After a 2022 CFTC settlement that barred U.S. users, Polymarket acquired the CFTC-licensed QCEX exchange and clearinghouse and, under a November 2025 CFTC amended order of designation, relaunched a federally regulated U.S. platform that began onboarding American users in December 2025.
Is Polymarket CFTC-regulated?
Yes, as of late 2025. Polymarket runs its U.S. platform through QCEX (operating as QCX), a CFTC-designated contract market and clearinghouse it acquired in 2025. Its longstanding global crypto platform operates separately, outside that U.S.-regulated entity.
How does Polymarket pay out?
Positions settle in USDC stablecoin: winning shares resolve at $1, losing shares at $0, and balances can be withdrawn, provided the market resolves under its stated criteria.
How is Polymarket different from Kalshi?
Both are prediction markets, but Kalshi has run as a CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange since 2021, while Polymarket grew as a global crypto-native venue and only returned to the regulated U.S. market in late 2025 via QCEX. Polymarket settles in crypto (USDC); Kalshi uses U.S.-dollar accounts.
What regulatory issues has Polymarket faced?
It settled with the CFTC in 2022 for running an unregistered platform and barred U.S. users; it has since pursued a compliant U.S. re-entry through the CFTC-regulated QCEX. State-level questions and contract-specific reviews remain active, and Prediction News tracks them.