Donald Trump News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Donald Trump news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 54 active Donald Trump stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
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Polymarket and Kalshi traders slash Clarity Act odds as Senate ethics fight stalls vote
LegalRep. Luna allegedly tipped MAGA influencer on Polymarket VP bet
LegalKalshi loses New York preemption fight, appeals to Second Circuit as Washington opens
LegalWhite House suspends teleprompter operator over Kalshi insider-trading probe
StocksKalshi receives subpoenas over Trump speech-related markets
LegalDraftKings wins NFA approval as futures commission merchant
LegalBipartisan Senate bill would ban sports event contracts on CFTC-regulated prediction markets
LegalCFTC orders Kalshi to honor Michigan trades despite state court block
LegalCFTC sues Minnesota to block nation's first felony prediction market ban
TradingKalshi traders price Hormuz disruption into 2027 after Trump ends Iran ceasefire
TradingKalshi traders price OpenAI government stake below 30%
LegalSenate Democrats probe Kalshi and Polymarket over Trump audit immunity
TradingKalshi traders price USMNT at 85% to advance past Bosnia in World Cup round of 32
TradingPolymarket trader 'coldsway' loses $11.6 million on World Cup favorites in 10 days
LegalMichigan judge blocks Kalshi sports contracts for 14 days with $120K daily fine threat
LegalCFTC opens extensive probe into Polymarket over fake bets and staged trades
LegalTrump Jr. received $300,000 equity stake in Kalshi
TradingKalshi traders narrow Trump and Mamdani odds for Person of the Year
LegalCFTC sues New Mexico to block state gambling enforcement against prediction markets
TradingPolymarket traders price long-shot 2028 presidential outcomes
LegalMinnesota defends felony prediction market ban against Trump accusation filings
LegalHouse panel advances bill barring Congress from Kalshi and Polymarket
TradingKalshi prices in first Fed hike odds before 2027 after Warsh holds steady
TradingPolymarket's $354M Iran market stalls as real-world deal outpaces resolution
LegalTrump administration sues Kentucky to block state prediction market crackdown
TradingKalshi traders split on Fable 5 restoration odds after Anthropic AI ban
TradingTrump-backed Alabama candidate's Senate runoff odds slide on Kalshi and Polymarket
TradingPrediction markets favor Mike Collins over Derek Dooley in Georgia Senate runoff
TradingRubio surges against Vance in 2028 GOP nomination prediction markets after Trump comments
LegalPolymarket joins Kalshi in federal suit challenging Minnesota prediction market ban
LegalKalshi refers George Santos to DOJ and CFTC over State of the Union bets
TradingKalshi and Polymarket split by 18 points on Trump NBA Finals attendance odds
LegalPolymarket severs Santos contract as DOJ probes alleged Kalshi insider trades
DealsCrypto.com and OG Prediction Markets partner with U.S. SailGP Team
LegalTrump says he's 'never much in favor' of prediction markets while backing CFTC oversight
TradingKalshi traders slash re-opening odds after Trump delays July 1 timeline
LegalAGA CEO Miller calls CFTC 'rogue agency' as Trump backs prediction markets
LegalKalshi sues Minnesota to block nation's first felony prediction market ban
LegalTrump reverses stance to back CFTC as sole prediction market regulator
LegalWhite House begins review of CFTC proposal to oversee prediction markets
LegalCFTC suspended officials who flagged concerns about Polymarket, Crypto.com and Gemini
OpinionTrump praises Kalshi and Polymarket, assails state regulators on Truth Social
TradingKalshi prices Paxton at 94-96% in Texas GOP runoff after Trump endorsement
TradingNinth Circuit denies Kalshi and Polymarket preemption shield as House opens insider-trading probe
DealsTrump Jr. advises and invests in both Polymarket and Kalshi
LegalMinnesota enacts first state ban on Kalshi and Polymarket as Trump administration sues to block it
TradingKalshi and Polymarket post opposite odds on Kentucky's KY-04 primary
TradingSpencer Pratt hits 33% on Kalshi as L.A. mayoral race draws volume
TradingKalshi odds on Massie swing from 78% to 1% before Kentucky primary loss
LegalSchumer presses House and White House to adopt Senate prediction market ban
Frequently Asked Questions
What prediction markets are there on Donald Trump?
Polymarket and Kalshi run hundreds of markets on Trump-related events including policy outcomes, endorsements, diplomatic deals, and primary election results.
How do Trump's endorsements affect prediction markets?
Endorsements have moved implied probabilities in Senate runoff markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, with drops observed in some backed candidates despite support.
What is Trump's position on prediction markets regulation?
Trump has stated it is critically important for the CFTC to have exclusive authority over prediction markets and that platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket will thrive under federal rules.
Does Trump comment on prediction market disputes?
Trump has weighed in on CFTC-state conflicts over event contract oversight and on specific markets such as the Iran deal resolution on Polymarket.
Are there Trump-related markets on Polymarket and Kalshi?
Yes, both platforms host active Trump-tagged markets on elections, policy, and news events, with Polymarket showing dedicated Trump prediction sections.