Donald Trump News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Donald Trump news across prediction markets. PredictionNews is following 15 active Donald Trump stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Polymarket cuts George Santos as feds probe alleged Kalshi insider bet
LegalKalshi refers George Santos to DOJ and CFTC over bets on own State of the Union attendance
TradingKalshi and Polymarket split by 18 points on Trump NBA Finals attendance odds
LegalKalshi sues Minnesota to block nation's first felony prediction market ban
LegalCFTC sues Minnesota and Gov. Walz to block nation's first state prediction market ban
LegalAGA CEO Miller calls CFTC 'rogue agency' as Trump backs prediction markets
LegalCFTC sues Rhode Island to block state gambling enforcement against prediction markets
LegalTrump reverses stance to back CFTC as sole prediction market regulator
LegalWhite House begins review of CFTC proposal to oversee prediction markets
OpinionTrump praises Kalshi and Polymarket, assails state regulators on Truth Social
TradingKalshi prices Paxton at 94-96% in Texas GOP runoff after Trump endorsement
TradingKalshi and Polymarket post opposite odds on Kentucky's KY-04 primary
TradingKalshi odds on Massie swing from 78% to 1% before Kentucky primary loss
TradingPentagon's first UAP file release drives Polymarket UFO volume to $33M
OpinionTrump reverses tone on prediction markets after 'never much in favor' remark
Frequently Asked Questions
Where can I find the latest Donald Trump news?
Right here. PredictionNews tracks 15 active Donald Trump stories, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for prediction-market operators, traders, and regulators, and refreshed throughout the day.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Federally, yes. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket US operate as CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, which is why they're available even in states where sports betting is banned. Legality is contested at the state level, especially for sports contracts, the regulatory fight PredictionNews tracks daily.
Are prediction markets the same as gambling?
Legally, no. They're overseen by the CFTC as financial event contracts, not by state gambling regulators, and you trade "Yes"/"No" shares priced between $0 and $1 rather than betting against a bookmaker's odds. That distinction is at the heart of the current regulatory debate.
How do prediction markets work?
You buy shares in a "Yes" or "No" outcome priced between $0 and $1. The price reflects the market's implied probability of the event. Correct predictions settle at $1 per share, incorrect ones at $0. They function like an exchange, not a sportsbook.