Donald Trump News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Donald Trump news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 66 active Donald Trump stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Opinion
Opinion: Trump family ties to prediction markets will draw IRS scrutiny
TradingMamdani leads Polymarket odds for 2026 TIME Person of the Year
LegalCFTC warns prediction markets to drop American-style moneyline odds
LegalKalshi issues first lifetime ban to George Santos over State of the Union bets
TradingTexas Senate race hits $10.6M on Kalshi as platforms split on Paxton-Talarico
TradingPolymarket S&P 500 daily contract shows first bearish lean as Fed repricing accelerates
LegalCFTC fines former White House teleprompter operator $172,000 for Kalshi insider trades
TradingHouse Speaker Johnson claims foreign bettors skewing prediction markets toward Democrats
GlobalSouth Korea's KCSC orders ISP block on Polymarket over gambling claims
OpinionChris Christie predicts Supreme Court fight over U.S. prediction markets
TradingPolymarket and Kalshi traders price Trump behind rivals for Time Person of the Year
TradingPolymarket reprices Trump-Putin meeting odds after Kremlin China comment
TradingTrump-backed Mazzei wins Oklahoma runoff after prediction markets misread first round
TradingScaramucci says Trump will 'go to TACO' on Canada as Polymarket odds hit 8%
TradingPolymarket traders price Trump House impeachment odds at 68%
TradingGraham Nordone's South Carolina Senate primary odds fall to 67% after debate stumble
TradingKalshi lists 31-word Trump NASA speech market as eight-model panel splits on pricing
TradingJennings tops Kalshi press secretary market as Habba rules herself out
LegalTrump hosts crypto executives at White House, prediction markets excluded
TradingTrump praises prediction markets as researchers flag $8M in suspicious military bets
TradingPolymarket Clarity Act odds sink to 20% as Trump crypto agenda stalls
TradingAOC passes Newsom as 2028 Democratic favorite on Polymarket and Kalshi
TradingPrediction markets price low odds on Hegseth leaving Trump administration
TradingPolymarket targets $20 billion valuation amid prediction market competition
LegalKalshi suspends sports mention markets as CFTC opens manipulation review
LegalWashington judge orders Kalshi to halt most state betting operations
OpinionWhite House to host prediction market executives as Trump administration embraces sector
StocksTrump Media ends Crypto.com token and prediction market deals, keeps marketing tie
OpinionTrump lean reports push Vance ahead of Rubio in 2028 GOP nomination markets
LegalPolymarket bettor sues for $170K over Trump 'Khamenei' pronunciation ruling
TradingInfantino seeks Trump help to keep FIFA post; prediction markets split on his odds
LegalCFTC fines George Santos for alleged manipulative trading in Kalshi event contracts
LegalFederal judge blocks Minnesota's first-in-the-nation prediction market ban
TradingPolymarket prices Hamas disarmament at 61% after Trump's Board of Peace agreement
LegalWhite House teleprompter operator accused of Kalshi insider trading leaves federal job
TradingKalshi and Polymarket diverge sharply on Fed hold odds ahead of rate decision
LegalTrump administration prediction market rule draws 44-state opposition
TradingPolymarket traders favor Mamdani over Trump for TIME Person of the Year
LegalKalshi loses New York preemption fight, appeals to Second Circuit as Washington opens
LegalPolymarket account in Farage backer Cottrell's name took $9mn in unidentified crypto
TradingPolymarket prices CLARITY Act passage at 24%
LegalRep. Luna allegedly tipped MAGA influencer on Polymarket VP bet
LegalWhite House suspends teleprompter operator over Kalshi insider-trading probe
StocksKalshi receives subpoenas over Trump speech-related markets
LegalDraftKings wins NFA approval as futures commission merchant
LegalCFTC orders Kalshi to honor Michigan trades despite state court block
LegalCFTC sues Minnesota to block nation's first felony prediction market ban
TradingKalshi traders price Hormuz disruption into 2027 after Trump ends Iran ceasefire
TradingKalshi traders price OpenAI government stake below 30%
LegalSenate Democrats probe Kalshi and Polymarket over Trump audit immunity
Frequently Asked Questions
What prediction markets are there on Donald Trump?
Polymarket and Kalshi run hundreds of markets on Trump-related events including policy outcomes, endorsements, diplomatic deals, and primary election results.
How do Trump's endorsements affect prediction markets?
Endorsements have moved implied probabilities in Senate runoff markets on Kalshi and Polymarket, with drops observed in some backed candidates despite support.
What is Trump's position on prediction markets regulation?
Trump has stated it is critically important for the CFTC to have exclusive authority over prediction markets and that platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket will thrive under federal rules.
Does Trump comment on prediction market disputes?
Trump has weighed in on CFTC-state conflicts over event contract oversight and on specific markets such as the Iran deal resolution on Polymarket.
Are there Trump-related markets on Polymarket and Kalshi?
Yes, both platforms host active Trump-tagged markets on elections, policy, and news events, with Polymarket showing dedicated Trump prediction sections.