Trading
Prediction markets favor Mike Collins over Derek Dooley in Georgia Senate runoff
Prediction markets and most polls favor Representative Mike Collins over Derek Dooley in Georgia's Republican Senate runoff. The contest follows a Trump endorsement of Collins.
Why this matters?
Shows prediction markets are actively pricing US primary elections, giving traders a real-time alternative to polling aggregates for tracking candidate momentum.
The bigger picture
Collins joins Moore, Mazzei, Platner, Rubio, and a Swiss referendum as the sixth active political prediction-market contract covered this week, underscoring how Kalshi and Polymarket have turned event contracts into a real-time layer for pricing elections from local primaries to European referenda.