SEC News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest SEC news across prediction markets. PredictionNews is following 15 active SEC stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
High Roller unveils ROLR prediction challenge, Crypto.com partnership
LegalCFTC approves first U.S. bitcoin perpetual futures for Kalshi and Coinbase
LegalGoogle engineer Spagnuolo charged in $1.2M Polymarket insider-trading scheme
LegalCFTC sues Minnesota and Gov. Walz to block nation's first state prediction market ban
TradingPolymarket launches SpaceX and Anthropic pre-IPO valuation contracts
LegalPolymarket files with CFTC to list sports parlays as SEC weighs prediction market ETFs
LegalSEC chair Atkins blocks two dozen prediction market ETFs indefinitely
DealsInteractive Brokers deepens prediction market aggregation with expanded Kalshi, CME access
LegalSEC chair Atkins opens public comment on prediction market ETFs after blocking two dozen funds
DealsInteractive Brokers launches first major US retail prediction market aggregator with Kalshi, CME, ForecastEx
LegalCFTC talks sports leagues, SEC coordination as prediction market rulemaking drags on
LegalSEC Commissioner Peirce opens door to prediction market ETFs in regulatory shift
OpinionBetter Markets presses CFTC to embrace prediction markets oversight role
TradingKalshi traders split on SEC speed to end mandatory quarterly earnings reports
LegalJudge permanently blocks Arizona's criminal prosecution of Kalshi on federal preemption grounds
Frequently Asked Questions
Where can I find the latest SEC news?
Right here. PredictionNews tracks 15 active SEC stories, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for prediction-market operators, traders, and regulators, and refreshed throughout the day.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Federally, yes. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket US operate as CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, which is why they're available even in states where sports betting is banned. Legality is contested at the state level, especially for sports contracts, the regulatory fight PredictionNews tracks daily.
Are prediction markets the same as gambling?
Legally, no. They're overseen by the CFTC as financial event contracts, not by state gambling regulators, and you trade "Yes"/"No" shares priced between $0 and $1 rather than betting against a bookmaker's odds. That distinction is at the heart of the current regulatory debate.
How do prediction markets work?
You buy shares in a "Yes" or "No" outcome priced between $0 and $1. The price reflects the market's implied probability of the event. Correct predictions settle at $1 per share, incorrect ones at $0. They function like an exchange, not a sportsbook.