CFTC News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest CFTC news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 318 active CFTC stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Kalshi yanks NFL player availability contracts after CFTC pressure
StocksRobinhood event contracts revenue tops crypto and equities in record Q2
LegalNew Jersey asks Supreme Court to settle Kalshi sports-contracts fight
LegalCFTC seeks dismissal of CME lawsuit over Kalshi bitcoin perpetual futures
LegalNew Jersey asks Supreme Court to settle Kalshi sports-contracts fight
DealsProspect Markets joins Crypto.com derivatives arm for regulated U.S. entry
LegalNew York AG asks federal court to disregard CFTC emergency order to Kalshi
LegalAppeals court rejects Kalshi bid to block Nevada gaming oversight
TradingKalshi to file for US crude oil perpetual contract, source says
LegalCanadian regulators exempt sports prediction markets from securities law while barring dealer apps
TradingKalshi launches climate event contracts, drawing criticism from CEPR
LegalCFTC asks Kalshi to halt sports injury markets amid legal skirmishes
DealsProspect Markets signs Crypto.com white-label deal for U.S. event contracts
LegalNext.io and Dimers publish guides to Kalshi's Florida legal status
OpinionOpinion: Prediction market profits corrupt public figures beyond elected officials
StocksMorgan Stanley upgrades Robinhood to $150 target on prediction market growth
DealsHigh Roller signs mrkts.com to power ROLR prediction market through Crypto.com
LegalKalshi issues first lifetime ban to George Santos over State of the Union bets
LegalCFTC warns prediction markets to drop American-style moneyline odds
LegalSEC opens comment period on joint swap definition with CFTC as event contract litigation spreads
LegalFederal appeals court lets Nevada regulate Kalshi as gambling
DealsKalshi partners with Alpaca to push event contracts through global brokerage pipes
DealsCrypto.com and PYMNTS launch AI prediction market contracts on OG.com
OpinionYoung adults 18-21 traded $5.4 billion on Kalshi this year
DealsTrading Technologies adds OG.com as second prediction market venue
LegalCFTC fines former White House teleprompter operator $172,000 for Kalshi insider trades
LegalCFTC orders $172,000 penalty in federal employee insider trading case on event contracts
LegalJudge stays CFTC civil case as agency pushes into criminal Polymarket insider-trading prosecution
LegalProphetX urges exchange-based model as state courts erode federal preemption
LegalConnecticut sues Kalshi to block sports event contracts
LegalWebull promotes college football event contracts in US app with state limits
LegalUS servicemember under investigation for $1M+ Polymarket bets on Iran, Venezuela ops
LegalGaming attorneys blast CFTC for directing Kalshi to defy favorable court orders
LegalNine senators urge CFTC ban on disaster contracts after Polymarket wildfire bets
LegalCFTC warns prediction markets to drop American odds format
LegalMEMX files proposed rule change for securities event contracts with SEC
TradingPulse Market launches unified terminal for Polymarket and Kalshi traders
TradingKalshi traders price Week 0 college football contracts across full slate
LegalCME's Duffy and Kalshi's Lopes Lara exchange personal insults at CFTC roundtable
LegalTrump Jr. urges Republican state AGs to drop prediction market opposition
LegalPolymarket withdraws NFL player participation filings one day after CFTC self-certification
TradingPolymarket US files to list Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana price contracts
DealsNFL rejects prediction market deals, keeps three sportsbook partners for 2026
GlobalSouth Korea's KCSC orders ISP block on Polymarket over gambling claims
LegalDraftKings Predictions faces California class-action suit over prediction markets
OpinionChris Christie predicts Supreme Court fight over U.S. prediction markets
TradingNovig posts $125 million in first-week sports prediction market volume
StocksCME's Duffy clashes with CFTC chair and Kalshi at first event-contract advisory meeting
LegalPolymarket referred dozens of military insider trading accounts to DOJ
LegalBaumgartner introduces federal ban on wildfire event contracts
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the CFTC's role in regulating prediction markets?
The CFTC approves and oversees platforms as designated contract markets (DCMs) for event contracts, recently granting approvals to Novig and ProphetX for sports markets.
Does the CFTC have exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets?
The CFTC asserts exclusive jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act and has sued states like Minnesota to block interference with CFTC-regulated event contracts.
What event contracts does the CFTC permit or prohibit?
A June 2026 proposed framework permits sports-related contracts but explicitly prohibits those involving gaming, war, terrorism, assassination, or unlawful activity.
How does the CFTC approve prediction market platforms?
Platforms must obtain DCM and sometimes DCO designations; Novig and ProphetX received these approvals in June 2026 for sports event contracts.
Is Kalshi regulated by the CFTC?
Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated DCM and has added compliance partners like Solidus Labs amid state and tribal challenges to federal oversight.
What is a designated contract market under the CFTC?
A DCM is a CFTC-registered exchange authorized to list and trade event contracts, allowing nationwide operation and preempting some state restrictions.