Kalshi traders price 69% odds bitcoin hits $50,000 before $100,000
Kalshi Crypto traders are pricing a 69% probability that Bitcoin reaches $50,000 before it hits $100,000, reflecting bearish positioning on the CFTC-regulated prediction market platform. The odds, cited by TradingView data on June 13, signal active trader sentiment on the path between the two major BTC price levels. The figure comes from Kalshi Crypto, the platform's dedicated crypto vertical, and was reported by multiple sources including Bitget and Pluang.
Kalshi's bearish Bitcoin pricing now sits just below the 50% threshold breached last week, giving DRW, Wintermute, and IMC a second sentiment signal to reconcile against their event-contract desks. Any divergence between Kalshi's regulated odds and Polymarket's crypto flow sharpens the arb these market makers can run across venues.