Trading
Kalshi traders price 80% odds Bitcoin stays below $100K through 2026
Kalshi prediction-market traders are pricing an 80% probability that Bitcoin remains below $100,000 through the end of 2026, with contracts drawing $10 million in wagers. The timing contracts reflect prevailing downward sentiment in the market, with an implied 19% chance Bitcoin hits $100,000 this year.
Why this matters?
These Bitcoin contracts give Kalshi a regulated sentiment benchmark that institutional desks can cross-check against Polymarket's competing crypto price readings. Any sharp divergence between the two CFTC-regulated venues on the same underlying turns their price gaps into actionable inter-venue signals.