Trading
Polymarket Bitcoin odds shift after $80K near-miss
Polymarket traders priced a 64% chance that Bitcoin would hit $80,000 by month-end on September 12, after the cryptocurrency came within $163 of that level on September 11 but pulled back. The same market showed 68.5% odds of a dip to $75,000. Polymarket also listed short-duration Bitcoin price markets, including a five-minute up-or-down contract.
Why this matters?
Polymarket's month-end $80,000 pricing creates a live view of trader expectations around Bitcoin volatility. The gap between that contract and shorter-duration markets on the same platform lets sophisticated traders exploit timing differences. The platform that proves more accurate on month-end settlement gains credibility for recurring crypto contracts.
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