Tech

Robinhood lists SOL and XRP price prediction markets for mid-November 2026

Published Nov 13, 2026Updated 18h ago

Robinhood added two new crypto price prediction markets on November 14, 2026. It listed a live Solana (SOL) contract for 1 a.m. EST on November 14 with binary thresholds at $75.25, $75.50, and $75.75. It also listed a Ripple (XRP) contract for 8 p.m. EST on November 13, paying $1 per contract if correct. The XRP market went live November 12. Both contracts appear in Robinhood's prediction markets vertical, which covers crypto events.

Why this matters?

Each new listing deepens Robinhood's dependence on partner venues it does not control. The platform holds no CFTC designated contract market license itself. Every SOL and XRP contract routes through Kalshi, ForecastEX, or the Rothera joint venture. State lawsuits against Kalshi in Ohio and Tennessee already pierced federal preemption. Those suits could force geofencing or contract redesign overnight.

The August volume dip proved retail traders abandon interrupted platforms within days. Robinhood's $173 million Q3 event-contract revenue makes prediction markets central to its growth story. Competitors with direct CFTC designations can now pitch stability to users who felt that disruption. Any partner outage during peak crypto volatility would test whether the stock's prediction-market premium holds.

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