Trading
Polymarket traders expect S&P 500 to open higher Tuesday
Polymarket traders expect the S&P 500 to extend gains and open higher on Tuesday, Aug. 4, 2026, after President Trump paused planned strikes on Iran and amid a tech rally. The article also references Amazon AI earnings as a market factor.
Why this matters?
Shows Polymarket being used for real-time macro sentiment on equity index direction, expanding its use case beyond political and crypto markets into daily trading decisions.
The bigger picture
Joins yesterday's S&P 500 bounce-back contract as Polymarket's second equity-index market this week, extending its push into macro trading.
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