Polymarket prices Trump-Xi handshake odds at 50%
Polymarket traders are pricing roughly 50% odds that Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shake hands during their upcoming meeting, with the contract specifying a 10-15 second handshake. The market reflects real-time sentiment on a high-stakes diplomatic encounter between the US and Chinese leaders.
Diplomatic body-language markets are a niche but growing contract type on Polymarket; this one shows traders treating a handshake as a measurable proxy for thawing US-China relations.
Brings Polymarket's active foreign-election and diplomatic-event book to at least three distinct international markets — Russia, Israel, and now US-China bilateral optics — as the platform extends its political contract stack beyond the domestic races where Kalshi competes most directly.