Polymarket Clarity Act odds fall to 47% amid White House illicit-finance meeting
Polymarket traders have cut the probability that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becomes law in 2026 to 47% to 48%, with pricing fluctuating around that range in recent days. The drop follows a June 10 White House meeting where administration officials hosted roughly 20 attendees to discuss developer protections in the legislation. The session also involved law enforcement officials addressing illicit-finance concerns linked to the bill. No dollar figure or trading volume for the specific market was provided. The repricing reflects uncertainty about whether the legislation can advance amid those ethics and enforcement questions.
Traders now price CLARITY Act passage below a coin flip, meaning any legislator or lobbyist using Polymarket as a real-time policy barometer must weigh illicit-finance optics as a material legislative risk. A sustained sub-50% floor could sap momentum for supporters counting on market sentiment to pressure undecided votes.