Polymarket Clarity Act odds fall to 47% ahead of White House illicit-finance meeting
Polymarket bettors have slashed the probability that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becomes law in 2026 to 47%, down from higher odds in prior trading. The repricing on the CFTC-regulated platform comes as the White House convenes with law enforcement officials to discuss illicit-finance concerns linked to the legislation. The meeting involves officials engaged on the bill, according to the sources. No trading volume or dollar figure for the specific contract was disclosed. The Clarity Act is a pending piece of digital-asset legislation whose prospects are now being priced below even odds by prediction-market participants.
A sub-50% read on major legislation from Polymarket's liquid pool signals to crypto policy traders that the Clarity Act's path has deteriorated materially. Any further White House skepticism will likely compress odds further and cascade into parallel prediction markets before traditional analysts price the shift.