Trading
Polymarket Royals contract swings 45 points in hour
A Polymarket submarket on the Kansas City Royals versus Detroit Tigers game saw the Royals option spike from 24.5% to 69.5% within an hour on July 25. The swing highlights rapid repricing on the crypto-native platform amid thin liquidity conditions in sports markets.
Why this matters?
These swings are not isolated. The same thin liquidity that moved a baseball contract 45 points in one hour also creates execution risks for traders when size hits. The pattern now spans multiple baseball game windows at Polymarket.
Competitors can pitch their own books as more stable. Institutional market makers will demand proof of two-sided flow before committing capital, and neither platform has shown it.
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