Octagon AI launches Kalshi prediction baskets targeting rate-cut mispricing
Octagon AI has launched Prediction Baskets, ready-made bundles of Kalshi event contracts that users can purchase in one click, alongside a specific basket targeting perceived mispricing in Federal Reserve rate-cut odds. The first basket lets investors bet that traders on Kalshi are overpricing the probability of zero rate cuts in 2026; Kalshi markets currently assign a 65% chance to that outcome, while Octagon AI estimates the correct probability at roughly 11%. The baskets are constructed with the Octagon Prediction CLI and cover politics and other live markets on the regulated prediction market.
Kalshi's institutional push now includes a third-party product layer built expressly for macro hedge funds. Any volume Octagon AI drives through its rate-cut basket directly deepens the liquidity that Kalshi's Bloomberg-style terminal and Galaxy's OTC desk are competing to capture.