Tomaino claims Polymarket traffic tops FanDuel, DraftKings, and Kalshi combined
1confirmation founder Nick Tomaino said on X that Polymarket traffic has surpassed FanDuel, DraftKings, and Kalshi combined, citing an unspecified metric and time period. A separate X post claimed 43.1 million web visits in the past month per Similarweb. Tomaino did not verify the data source or define the traffic measure he referenced. The claims arrived as prediction market operators face intensifying congressional scrutiny over volume and market growth.
Traffic bragging in lieu of verified volume data invites exactly the kind of credibility challenge Kalshi and Polymarket already face in Congress. The Senate Schiff-Curtis bill to ban sports event contracts turns on whether these platforms are gambling-scale operations masquerading as CFTC-regulated exchanges. An unsubstantiated traffic claim from a known Polymarket backer hands bill sponsors rhetorical ammunition: platforms that tout opaque growth metrics may look more like marketing machines than transparent markets.
Polymarket, the risk is that lawmakers conflate web visits with gambling participation and narrow the regulatory noose faster. Kalshi suffers collateral damage when any platform in the sector inflates numbers without audit. The platform that publishes verified, standardized usage data first may blunt the attack. The one that lets backers fill the vacuum with unverified posts will see regulators and competitors define its scale for it.
Traffic claim lands one day after Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US posted record monthly volume of $50.6 billion, giving platforms already under bipartisan Senate ban pressure another headline to defend or exploit.