Trading

Moomoo logs 100M prediction market contracts traded in three weeks

Published Jul 2, 2026

Moomoo reported that 100 million prediction market contracts traded on its platform in a three-week period. The contracts are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., a futures commission merchant registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Moomoo separately launched Moomoo Engine, a unified platform for research, options analysis, and trade execution, with event contract availability varying by U.S. state.

Why this matters?

This volume figure puts Moomoo in direct conversation with Kalshi and Polymarket at a moment when those incumbents are stress-testing sportsbook-scale flows. Moomoo's CFTC registration through its futures commission merchant status gives it the same federal footing as established venues, but its broker-dealer retail base offers a different acquisition funnel.

The three-week pace signals that Moomoo is not merely experimenting with event contracts; it is allocating platform real estate and user onboarding to them. If the retention rate holds, Moomoo becomes a genuine share-taker in the regulated tier rather than a niche appendage. Kalshi's $40 billion valuation pitch and Polymarket's institutional push both assume continued dominance of the CFTC-registered layer; a third retail venue hitting nine-figure weekly prints breaks that assumption.

The bigger picture

Moomoo's volume entry joins a month in which Kalshi and Polymarket combined for $45 billion in June flows and the World Cup alone drove $2 billion in bets, as CFTC-registered venues race to prove event contracts can handle sportsbook-scale traffic without liquidity breakdowns.

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