SpaceX News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest SpaceX news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 16 active SpaceX stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Polymarket and Kalshi post conflicting Anthropic IPO probabilities
TradingPolymarket traders surge on Anthropic as 2026's top IPO bet
TradingKalshi prices Tesla-SpaceX merger at 65% before 2028
TradingKalshi doubles down on AI IPO and space markets with second tech listing
TradingKalshi market prices 40% odds Tesla mentions SpaceX merger at earnings call
TradingPolymarket prices 65% odds SpaceX shares hit $115 this week
StocksKalshi traders price 74% odds of SpaceX-Tesla merger by May 2027
TradingRobinhood lists Nasdaq 100 futures prediction market
TradingPolymarket Tesla-SpaceX merger odds cut to 11% for 2026
DealsCharles Schwab and Cboe to launch S&P 500 binary options contracts
TradingPolymarket and Kalshi traders cut odds of Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs after SpaceX listing
TradingKalshi traders price Mars, merger, and trillionaire odds on Musk and SpaceX
StocksPrediction markets see Musk at Nasdaq bell for SpaceX IPO
TradingPolymarket traders give SpaceX 61% odds of $2T to $2.5T valuation on debut
TradingKalshi and Polymarket traders push SpaceX-Tesla merger odds higher
TradingKalshi traders price Musk at 96% to become world's first trillionaire ahead of SpaceX IPO
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Polymarket odds on SpaceX IPO valuation?
Polymarket traders priced a 61% chance SpaceX would close its first trading day between $2T and $2.5T market cap.
What are Kalshi odds on SpaceX merging with Tesla?
Kalshi and Polymarket contracts show 41–61% odds on various SpaceX-Tesla merger outcomes within the next year.
Did SpaceX IPO make Elon Musk a trillionaire?
Kalshi priced Musk at 96% odds to become the world's first trillionaire ahead of the IPO; post-listing coverage confirms he reached that milestone.
What is the Kalshi probability SpaceX reaches Mars by 2030?
Kalshi traders priced an 18% chance SpaceX reaches Mars by 2030.
How did SpaceX IPO affect Anthropic and OpenAI IPO odds?
Polymarket and Kalshi traders cut odds of Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs by year-end after the SpaceX listing.