Study estimates US users sent up to $34 billion through offshore prediction markets
A research brief from Next Predict estimates that US users generated up to $34 billion in offshore prediction market volume during the 12 months ending May 2026. The same study projected that annual figure could climb to as much as $133 billion by 2030. The Yahoo Finance report did not name the study's author or methodology within the available text. The figures highlight the scale of US capital flowing to unregulated or non-domestic prediction market platforms, published Thursday, June 12, 2026. Bitget's finding that US traders drive 25% of tracked offshore volume provides an earlier benchmark in the same research stream.
CFTC-registered platforms now have a concrete dollar figure to cite in Washington: $34 billion annually fleeing to venues they cannot legally match. If rulemakers ignore that pool while restricting domestic contract design, Kalshi and DraftKings will watch more US flow disappear offshore.