Polymarket whales place $100,000 on Scotland, $51,000 on Sweden in World Cup block bets
A single whale placed a $100,000 buy on Scotland in Polymarket's Haiti vs. Scotland market, executed as one block trade according to on-chain monitoring data. The position shows concentrated directional conviction on the soccer match result. A day later, a separate whale placed a $51,000 buy on Sweden in Polymarket's Sweden vs. Tunisia market, also reported by on-chain monitor Catcher. Both trades are concentrated block bets on national-team outcomes during active World Cup event-contract trading. Neither trade was tied to a disclosed hedging strategy, distinguishing them from sportsbook flows seen elsewhere on the platform.
These whale bets test whether Polymarket can absorb size without sportsbook-style hedging demand. If block trades move odds far enough, they may draw institutional market-makers from Kalshi to capture the spread, fragmenting liquidity across CFTC venues.
Polymarket's broader World Cup block-bet pattern, where whale and sportsbook hedges have helped push tournament volume past $2 billion and institutionalized large directional flows on single-match outcomes.