Pentagon's first UAP file release drives Polymarket UFO volume to $33M
Polymarket trading volume on alien disclosure contracts hit $33 million following the Pentagon's release of its first UAP files through the PURSUE database. The market priced the odds of official alien disclosure at 21%. The Pentagon publication marked the first time the department has made such files publicly available. The volume surge came as Donald Trump had previously teased the release of 'very interesting' UFO files, which Inshorts reported sparked a betting frenzy on the platform. Yahoo Finance provided the specific volume and pricing data, while Inshorts noted the Trump teaser without contract details or figures.
Polymarket's 21% odds pricing gives regulators a concrete benchmark for whether prediction markets are systematically mispricing low-probability events, with the CFTC's upcoming event-contract review expected to cite this contract as a case study.