Polymarket traders price 79% odds of MicroStrategy bitcoin sale in 2026
Polymarket traders are pricing a 79% probability that MicroStrategy will sell some of its bitcoin holdings by year-end 2026, according to tier-4 outlet 247wallst.com. The same day, Polymarket.com is running a separate routine Bitcoin price market for the May 24, 2026 close, though that market page contains no specific price levels, trading volume, or resolution criteria in its body. The MicroStrategy contract reflects bearish crypto sentiment that has already seen Polymarket traders slash odds across Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dogecoin in recent days, with Bitcoin slipping below $79,000 earlier in the week. The 247wallst.com article also notes that bitcoin's current price action mirrors a 2022 pattern in which a second drop proved worse than the first.
Hyperliquid already overtook Polymarket in BTC binary volume this week. Any sustained bearish repricing on Polymarket's largest crypto verticals will accelerate that migration and compound the platform's existing pressures from Kalshi's regulatory expansion and five concurrent federal probes.
Marks the fourth consecutive day of intense Polymarket crypto-market scrutiny, tying together security-exploit disclosures, bearish repricing across Bitcoin and Ethereum contracts, and now MicroStrategy-specific corporate exposure as traders treat the platform as a real-time sentiment gauge for digital-asset spot prices.