Polymarket lists second Musk tweet-count market after 19% activity jump on prior contract
Polymarket listed a fresh Elon Musk tweet-count market for June 9-16, 2026, according to the platform itself on June 6. The new contract follows a prior Musk tweet-count market that saw a 19% surge in activity, though that earlier contract's specific price levels and volume figures were not disclosed. The back-to-back tweet-count markets are both weekly contracts tracking Musk's social media output. Polymarket has not released volume or open-interest data for either contract, mirroring the transparency gap that has drawn criticism on other Musk-themed markets across platforms. The activity comes as institutional market makers have recently opened dedicated prediction-market desks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Polymarket's undisclosed volume and open interest on Musk tweet-count contracts means traders pricing these markets cannot distinguish institutional conviction from retail speculation. The opacity undermines the signal value that recently arrived market makers like DRW, Wintermute and IMC need to justify continued liquidity commitment.