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Kalshi traders price Ossoff as 2028 Democratic nomination favorite

Published Aug 13, 2026Updated 12h ago

Prediction-market traders on Kalshi are pricing US Senator Jon Ossoff as the favorite for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with his contract at 13%. Vice President Kamala Harris sits at 9.5%, while US Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona is fifth at 5.6%. The pricing positions Ossoff ahead of better-known names in early wagering for the cycle.

Why this matters?

Shows Kalshi political markets moving ahead of traditional polling to price nomination odds, with a lesser-known senator overtaking a sitting vice president in trader sentiment.

The bigger picture

Kalshi political markets join Polymarket in a running track record of nomination-odds volatility driven by personal-news cycles rather than polling data, after two platforms badly mispriced primaries in Michigan and Wisconsin.

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