Trading

Kalshi traders price Ossoff as 2028 Democratic nomination favorite

Published Aug 13, 2026Updated 58d ago

Prediction-market traders on Kalshi are pricing US Senator Jon Ossoff as the favorite for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with his contract at 13%. Vice President Kamala Harris sits at 9.5%, while US Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona is fifth at 5.6%. The pricing positions Ossoff ahead of better-known names in early wagering for the cycle.

Why this matters?

Shows Kalshi political markets moving ahead of traditional polling to price nomination odds, with a lesser-known senator overtaking a sitting vice president in trader sentiment.

The bigger picture

Kalshi political markets join Polymarket in a running track record of nomination-odds volatility driven by personal-news cycles rather than polling data, after two platforms badly mispriced primaries in Michigan and Wisconsin.

In this story
Add Prediction News as a preferred source on GoogleGet our prediction-market coverage prioritized in your search results

Related Stories

More in Trading
Trading

Kalshi traders push Flávio Bolsonaro above 80% after Brazil first-round vote

Trading

Kalshi's Maine Senate odds swing 2 points to Collins after first debate with Jackson

Trading

Talarico odds retreat to 63% on Kalshi after campaign pause halts Paxton-fueled rally

Trading

Polymarket and Kalshi align on 2026 House odds, split on 2028 presidential

Trading

Polymarket traders price Democratic sweep at 62-65% with under 30 days to midterms

Trading

Kalshi traders briefly favor Carney for Nobel Peace Prize over Trump