Trading

Kalshi traders price 94% odds NYC hits 77-78°F during Wednesday heat wave

Published Jul 15, 2026Updated 21h ago

Prediction markets at Kalshi are pricing a 94% chance that temperatures in New York City drop to 77 to 78 degrees at some point Wednesday during the ongoing heat wave. The market offers a precise temperature-range contract tied to a specific day, showing how event-contract platforms are expanding into weather-linked products beyond politics and finance.

Why this matters?

Demonstrates Kalshi's push into non-traditional event contract categories like weather, which could attract new trader demographics and set a template for seasonal or climate-linked products at other platforms.

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