Legal

CFTC chair vows to sue states that regulate prediction markets as gambling

Published Apr 28, 2026Updated 83d ago

CFTC Chair Mike Selig has vowed to file lawsuits against any state that attempts to regulate prediction markets under its own gambling laws. The pledge, delivered on April 28, signals a sharp escalation in the federal-state conflict over which regulatory framework applies to event-contract platforms. The CFTC is asserting federal preemption over prediction market regulation, pushing back against state-level efforts to classify these platforms under gambling statutes. The statement marks the commission's most aggressive posture yet in defending its jurisdiction over the growing prediction markets industry.

Why this matters?

Exposes Kalshi, Polymarket and other CFTC-registered platforms to a wave of state enforcement actions that Selig will now litigate rather than preempt, forcing them into costly parallel compliance or court battles in any state that moves first.

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