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The Resolution.

Kalshi passes $2 billion in annualized revenue and is in early IPO talks

Kalshi has surpassed $2 billion in annualized revenue and is in early-stage discussions with investment banks about a potential initial public offering, according to The Information. CNBC reported the news on June 18. The milestone follows a $1 billion Series F funding round in May that valued the CFTC-regulated prediction markets platform at $22 billion, per The Block. Kalshi's growth has been driven in part by NBA and FIFA World Cup markets. The IPO exploration comes as the company faces sports betting-related lawsuits and ongoing US regulatory pressure, and as competitors including Robinhood scale their own event-contract offerings.

 
Why this matters?
 

The IPO talks put Kalshi under immediate pressure to prove its $22 billion valuation against Robinhood's competing perpetual futures and Rothera event contracts. Any filing will expose its revenue concentration to retail sports markets at the exact moment institutional flow from DRW, Wintermute and IMC remains unproven.

 
The bigger picture
 

Becomes the latest competitive pressure Kalshi has faced this month, after Robinhood's Rothera began routing some World Cup volume away from the exchange earlier in June.

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Rep. Steil introduces bill to bar lawmakers and families from political prediction markets

 
Why this matters?
 

Kalshi and Polymarket would lose their highest-profile organic user segment if congressional accounts are forced to close. The repeated legislative pushes also pressure competing platforms to build real-time surveillance systems capable of flagging elected-official trades before regulators demand them.

 
The bigger picture
 

Steil's bill is the latest in his push to bar congressional trading on Kalshi and Polymarket.

 

CME sues CFTC to block Kalshi bitcoin perpetual futures approval

 
Why this matters?
 

Kalshi must now defend its perpetual-futures structure in court while competing for retail crypto volume. A ruling against the CFTC's swaps classification would force Kalshi to restructure the product or exit just as CME earlier threatened to sue over the same approval.

 
The bigger picture
 

Joins a second CME challenge to CFTC crypto-derivatives approvals this quarter, after the exchange's earlier threat to sue over the same Kalshi bitcoin perpetual futures.

 

Polymarket sponsors $21M pro football survivor contest via Splash

 
Why this matters?
 

Polymarket now fields two major sports plays this quarter — the Liga MX data deal and this $21 million contest sponsorship — while Kalshi and FanDuel Predicts have yet to match comparable survivor-pool or soccer federation tie-ins. Rivals must secure their own high-visibility sports partnerships before the World Cup or cede retail attention.

 

European gambling regulators issue prediction markets warning

 
Why this matters?
 

A coordinated enforcement threat from nine regulators raises compliance costs for prediction market platforms in Europe and could force geoblocking or licensing negotiations in major markets.

The Resolution.
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