Trump News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Trump news across prediction markets. PredictionNews is following 20 active Trump stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Kalshi refers George Santos to DOJ and CFTC over bets on own State of the Union attendance
LegalPolymarket joins Kalshi in suing Minnesota over prediction market ban
TradingKalshi and Polymarket split by 18 points on Trump NBA Finals attendance odds
LegalKalshi sues Minnesota to block nation's first felony prediction market ban
DealsCrypto.com and OG Prediction Markets partner with U.S. SailGP Team
LegalTrump says he's 'never much in favor' of prediction markets while backing CFTC oversight
TradingKalshi traders slash re-opening odds after Trump delays July 1 timeline
LegalTrump reverses stance to back CFTC as sole prediction market regulator
LegalCFTC suspended officials who flagged concerns about Polymarket, Crypto.com and Gemini
LegalWhite House begins review of CFTC proposal to oversee prediction markets
OpinionTrump praises Kalshi and Polymarket, assails state regulators on Truth Social
TradingKalshi prices Paxton at 94-96% in Texas GOP runoff after Trump endorsement
DealsTrump Jr. advises and invests in both Polymarket and Kalshi
TradingNinth Circuit denies Kalshi and Polymarket preemption shield as House opens insider-trading probe
LegalMinnesota enacts first state ban on Kalshi and Polymarket as Trump administration sues to block it
TradingSpencer Pratt hits 33% on Kalshi as L.A. mayoral race draws volume
TradingKalshi odds on Massie swing from 78% to 1% before Kentucky primary loss
LegalSchumer presses House and White House to adopt Senate prediction market ban
LegalCNN segment argues event contracts on prediction markets should face gambling regulation
OpinionCFTC official pens WSJ defense of prediction market oversight after Trump 'casino' swipe
Frequently Asked Questions
Where can I find the latest Trump news?
Right here. PredictionNews tracks 20 active Trump stories, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for prediction-market operators, traders, and regulators, and refreshed throughout the day.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Federally, yes. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket US operate as CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, which is why they're available even in states where sports betting is banned. Legality is contested at the state level, especially for sports contracts, the regulatory fight PredictionNews tracks daily.
Are prediction markets the same as gambling?
Legally, no. They're overseen by the CFTC as financial event contracts, not by state gambling regulators, and you trade "Yes"/"No" shares priced between $0 and $1 rather than betting against a bookmaker's odds. That distinction is at the heart of the current regulatory debate.
How do prediction markets work?
You buy shares in a "Yes" or "No" outcome priced between $0 and $1. The price reflects the market's implied probability of the event. Correct predictions settle at $1 per share, incorrect ones at $0. They function like an exchange, not a sportsbook.