Kevin Warsh News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest Kevin Warsh news across prediction markets. Prediction News is following 4 active Kevin Warsh stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
Kalshi whale bets $600,000 on Fed hike as September odds jump to 54%
TradingKalshi traders bet on Warsh press conference keywords after supply shock
TradingKalshi and Polymarket diverge sharply on Fed hold odds ahead of rate decision
TradingKalshi prices in first Fed hike odds before 2027 after Warsh holds steady
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is Kevin Warsh?
Kevin Warsh is the Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and FOMC, having taken office May 22, 2026.
What happened at Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting?
Warsh held interest rates steady in a unanimous decision, following a divided April vote.
How did prediction markets react to Warsh's first press conference?
Kalshi repriced to show greater than 50% odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike before 2027.
What are Kalshi odds on Fed rate decisions under Warsh?
Traders priced 76%-77% probability the Fed would hold rates steady at an upcoming meeting.
Why does Kevin Warsh matter to prediction markets?
His FOMC decisions and communications drive repricing and volume on macro contracts at Kalshi and Polymarket.