Deals

365Prediction applies for CFTC exchange and clearing licenses to enter sports prediction markets

Published Jul 6, 2026Updated 22h ago

365Prediction has filed applications for CFTC Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization licenses, positioning itself as a sports-focused entrant in the regulated prediction market industry. The startup joins ProphetX and others in targeting sports event contracts amid legal uncertainty around the sector. Crypto.com, Underdog, and FanDuel are also named as active players in the space. 365Prediction's dual-license strategy would let it operate both the exchange and clearing layers itself.

Why this matters?

365Prediction wants to own the full stack instead of renting infrastructure, mirroring the same vertical-integration bet DraftKings just made with DKeX. For a startup without an existing user base, that capital intensity is steep: it must fund exchange technology, clearing, and compliance while simultaneously buying traffic. The CFTC review timeline is long and uncertain; earlier entrants like Markets sidestepped it by partnering with OG Broker's existing Nadex rails.

If 365Prediction waits for full licensing, DraftKings and Robinhood may have already locked in the sports-betting crossover audience. The choice between speed and control is binding — OG-style partnerships carry counterparty risk, but proprietary stacks demand cash reserves most startups lack. A denied or delayed application could leave 365Prediction without a product when the World Cup-driven liquidity spike arrives.

The bigger picture

365Prediction joins a rush of sports-first entrants —after Markets signed with OG Broker and DraftKings brought DKeX in-house from CME and Crypto.com— all pursuing CFTC-regulated status before the World Cup liquidity window closes.

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