Stocks

Bitget report: US traders drive 25% of tracked offshore prediction market volume

Published Jun 12, 2026

A Bitget report published June 12, 2026, finds US traders account for 25% of tracked volume on offshore prediction market platforms. The report notes that one measured platform operates as a designated contract market and a derivatives clearing organization. Beincrypto.com, which also reported the figure, added context on broader prediction market volumes. Neither source disclosed which specific platforms were measured, the methodology used, or the time period covered. The report's arrival comes amid intensifying competition between regulated US exchanges and offshore operators for American trader activity.

Why this matters?

CFTC-registered platforms now have a concrete benchmark for how much US volume remains offshore. The 25% figure gives DraftKings, Robinhood, and Kalshi a dollar target to pitch in marketing and regulatory filings as they seek to convert that flow to regulated venues.

The bigger picture

The Bitget finding joins a study estimating Americans traded billions on Polymarket's offshore platform in documenting persistent US leakage to unregulated venues, even as DKeX, Rothera, and Kalshi race to capture that same flow through CFTC-regulated channels.

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