Trading
Kalshi traders price Marco Rubio exit odds at 55% amid 2028 speculation
Kalshi traders now give Marco Rubio a 55% chance of leaving the Trump administration this year, as reports of a 2028 presidential run intensify.
Why this matters?
Political departure markets on Kalshi are pricing in concrete probabilities for cabinet turnover, giving traders and observers a real-time gauge of insider-leak sentiment ahead of formal announcements.
The bigger picture
Kalshi's political departure market joins its midterm election suite that handled $2.5 billion in volume and drew congressional scrutiny from Senators Warren and Curtis, extending the platform's push to make event contracts the default real-time layer for Washington insider sentiment.
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