DeFi Rate forecasts Americans will trade over $2.5 billion on 2026 World Cup
DeFi Rate, the prediction-markets research desk of Pacific Tide Media, expects Americans to trade more than $2.5 billion on the 2026 World Cup, according to a Monday, June 1 research note from the San Diego-based firm. The forecast centers on American participation in prediction markets for the 2026 tournament, which the United States is co-hosting. Neither the Yahoo Finance nor Tmcnet.com article provides additional methodology, competing estimates, or named platforms. DeFi Rate is part of Pacific Tide Media. The estimate came in a research note dated Monday, June 1. The article bodies are truncated before additional detail is provided.
Polymarket must now prove it can convert its OneFootball pipeline into actual volume that matches or exceeds DeFi Rate's $2.5 billion forecast. Any gap between estimated American participation and Polymarket's captured share will strengthen Kalshi's pitch toInteractive Brokers clients and hedge funds that it owns the deeper liquidity pool.
DeFi Rate's $2.5 billion estimate is the fourth World Cup-centric market call tied to 2026 tournament co-hosting this year, after Polymarket's OneFootball exclusivity, Kalshi's Interactive Brokers integration, and the Kalshi-Polymarket pricing divergence on France and Messi.