Campaign staffers cash in on 'Wild West' prediction markets using private poll data
Multiple campaign staffers told NPR they are using private polling data to place bets on election prediction markets and earn personal income, with one trade verified at thousands of dollars in profit. The staffers described the environment as a 'Wild West' for campaign insiders with access to non-public information. The practice highlights a potential regulatory gap between traditional insider-trading laws and the largely unregulated prediction market space, raising concerns about information asymmetry and whether campaign workers hold an unfair advantage over ordinary traders. No platforms used were named, and no regulator has yet responded publicly.
Exposes a gray zone that leaves prediction market operators like Kalshi and Polymarket without clear Safe Harbor rules if lawmakers now rush toextend securities insider-trading statutes to election contracts before November.