The New York Times News & Prediction Market Coverage
Track the latest The New York Times news across prediction markets. PredictionNews is following 5 active The New York Times stories across regulation, legal action, market moves, and platform developments, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for operators, traders, and regulators.
Latest News
CFTC suspended officials who flagged concerns about Polymarket, Crypto.com and Gemini
LegalWhite House begins review of CFTC proposal to oversee prediction markets
TradingNinth Circuit denies Kalshi and Polymarket preemption shield as House opens insider-trading probe
DataNYT investigation flags insider-trading patterns across Polymarket's war, crypto markets
LegalSenate unanimously bans members and staff from trading on Kalshi and Polymarket
Frequently Asked Questions
Where can I find the latest The New York Times news?
Right here. PredictionNews tracks 5 active The New York Times stories, each clustered from original reporting and summarized for prediction-market operators, traders, and regulators, and refreshed throughout the day.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Federally, yes. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket US operate as CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, which is why they're available even in states where sports betting is banned. Legality is contested at the state level, especially for sports contracts, the regulatory fight PredictionNews tracks daily.
Are prediction markets the same as gambling?
Legally, no. They're overseen by the CFTC as financial event contracts, not by state gambling regulators, and you trade "Yes"/"No" shares priced between $0 and $1 rather than betting against a bookmaker's odds. That distinction is at the heart of the current regulatory debate.
How do prediction markets work?
You buy shares in a "Yes" or "No" outcome priced between $0 and $1. The price reflects the market's implied probability of the event. Correct predictions settle at $1 per share, incorrect ones at $0. They function like an exchange, not a sportsbook.