The Probability of Peace: What Market Forecasts Say About Ukraine’s Future
Even with North Korean troops in Ukraine, the world may avoid World War III. Trump spent his first two months in...
Betting on a Budget: Gov’t Shutdown Odds Fall After House Vote
On Tuesday, the House of Representatives passed a stopgap measure to fund the government through September. The vote was 217-213,...
Ukraine Accepts Peace Proposal During Saudi Talks With U.S., Fueling Hope for Ceasefire
On Tuesday, delegations from the United States and Ukraine met in Saudi Arabia to discuss ceasefire terms. The United States...
DraftKings Eyes Entry Into Prediction Markets With NFA Membership Bid
DraftKings has applied to become a member of the National Futures Association (NFA), the United States’ self-governing body of derivatives...
What Happened During Trump’s Seventh Week, According to Prediction Markets
President Trump’s seventh week included many surprises. He paused intelligence sharing to Ukraine, threatened Russia with sanctions, and reversed some...
Trump Just Approved ‘Strategic Bitcoin Reserve’—But Bettors May Get Burned on Technicality
When President Trump signed an executive order Thursday night establishing a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, traders who had bet 'Yes'...
Eggflation: Why Carton Prices Will Continue To Crack New Highs
In recent months, the U.S. has grappled with soaring egg prices, largely due to a severe bird flu outbreak that...
Zelensky’s Gamble: Will U.S. Minerals Deal Happen By April?
On Friday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, faced off with President Trump and Vice President Vance in the Oval Office. Trump...
Trump’s Address to Congress: ‘Greenland,’ ‘Bondi,’ and ‘Kamala’ Pay Big, Others Miss
Trump’s first State of the Union address on Tuesday evening was among his most dramatic performances. A Democratic member of...
Nevada Issues Cease and Desist to Kalshi Over Sports and Election Betting
On Tuesday afternoon, the Nevada Gaming Control Board issued a Cease and Desist letter to Kalshi. The letter demands that...
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