Prediction Markets vs. Pundits: Who Did Better at RFK’s Confirmation?
Prediction markets bill themselves as neutral alternatives to political pundits, and the RFK confirmation battle seems to bear the markets...
Prediction markets bill themselves as neutral alternatives to political pundits, and the RFK confirmation battle seems to bear the markets...
On Tuesday, Trump’s 10% tariffs against China’s goods went into effect. Before China, Trump threatened tariffs against Colombia, Mexico, and...
President Trump’s second week saw new nominees confirmed and others grilled even by members of his own party. Trump also...
On Thursday, Jan. 30, Interactive Brokers listed election contracts on the 2028 U.S. elections. The markets include the party of...
After Donald Trump signed a Jan. 23 executive order declassifying new JFK, RFK, and MLK assassination files, prediction markets indicated...
On Monday, the Senate’s votes for Sean Duffy, Trump’s nominee for Transportation Secretary, shocked Kalshi’s market on which Trump Cabinet...
In his first weekend back in office, President Trump almost started his first trade war with Colombia after its president...
President Trump finished his first week with crucial decisions that settled top prediction markets. Several of the markets responded to...
In the first few days of Donald Trump’s second term, the 47th president of the United States has signed a...
On President Trump’s first day, he signed 26 executive orders alonsgside a bevy of other actions—memoranda, proclamations, and statements—that were...
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