Chris Gerlacher

President Trump will give the State of the Union speech on March 4, and popular prediction market platform Kalshi has...

When Elon Musk and Donald Trump sat down with Sean Hannity, prediction market traders had over $600,000 on what Trump...

On Thursday afternoon, Kash Patel was confirmed as the Director of the FBI. Only two Republican senators joined Democrats in...

On Thursday, a Kalshi trader turned a $2,683 trade into a $105,236 win. The trader, LanceUpper, bought over 105,000 contracts...

On Tuesday, the Senate confirmed Howard Lutnick as Secretary of Commerce in a 51-45 vote. Four senators – two Republicans...

Despite a bribery scandal that threatened his governorship, Eric Adams has not only survived but also built an alliance with...

Trump’s fourth week resolved some prediction markets and riled others. While much focus remained on Trump’s remaining Cabinet nominees, government...

According to prediction markets, Trump’s Labor secretary nominee will get fewer votes than previously thought. Democratic outrage at DOGE’s budget...

On Wednesday, the prediction market Kalshi’s forecast of Trump visiting Russia almost tripled from 24% to 68%. Trump held a...

On Thursday, Robert Kennedy Jr. received 52 votes to become Trump’s Secretary of Health and Human Services. Mitch McConnell joined...