OPINION: The Nobel Peace Prize is supposed to honor those who bring lasting stability to a fractured world. Instead, it’s become the latest political prop for Donald Trump’s victory lap.
Right now, Trump has a 12% chance of winning the gold, according the prediction market Kalshi.
So, yes, he’s eligible. Yes, he’s been nominated (again). And yes, he’s got a handful of flashy “peace” deals to wave around. But scratch the surface and most of them are as solid as wet tissue — temporary fixes, PR stunts, or outright fiction.
This isn’t diplomacy; it’s performance art with a press pool.
The Question
Can Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize? Yes. Should he? That’s where the comedy starts.
Eligibility
Any living person can be nominated by qualified figures. Trump’s got that covered — he’s been nominated more times than he’s been married.
The Nominations
Heads of state like Netanyahu and even whole governments have nominated him, citing “historic peace deals” as justification.
Armenia–Azerbaijan Deal
Brokered at the White House, this “historic” framework ended a decades-old conflict… for now. It’s about as sturdy as a sandcastle at high tide.
Africa Diplomacy
Trump mediated a deal between the DRC and Rwanda — but it’s as much about securing minerals as ending violence.
India–Pakistan Claim
He boasts about ending tensions here. India’s official response: “That never happened.”
The Nobel Standard
The committee looks for lasting, genuine peace. Not photo ops, not headlines, not a handshake before the cameras.
Trump’s Playbook
Big ceremonies, big claims, zero follow-through. It’s PR first, reality… somewhere down the list.
History Lesson
The Nobel’s had questionable winners before. Adding Trump wouldn’t be unprecedented — just another dent in the medal.
The Bottom Line
Could Trump win? Absolutely. Should he? Only if we’ve decided that “peace” means signing something and hoping nobody notices when it falls apart.
