VoteHub announced it is integrating some of Kalshi’s political markets into its polling dashboards on Wednesday.
The company wrote in an X thread that “VoteHub’s averages show you public opinion today, while these markets on Kalshi give you a way to see, and trade on, where they’re headed next.”
Big news! VoteHub is partnering with @Kalshi through the midterms. Together, we’re combining political analysis and data with event contracts to give people a clearer view of what’s next in politics.
🧵 Here’s what this means. pic.twitter.com/m1hiDHPlWi
— VoteHub (@VoteHubUS) September 17, 2025
Kalshi called the race before mainstream news sources in the 2024 presidential election, showing Trump’s lead on election night sooner than many polls.
However, the picture is blurrier in House races. Economist Rajiv Sethi found that polls from the Economist and FiveThirtyEight outperformed crypto prediction market platform Polymarket in some House races. The midterms will be a chance to collect data about Senate and gubernatorial races ahead of the 2028 presidential election.
Kalshi and VoteHub integration
Kalshi offers a broad range of political markets, including electoral college margins of victory for each state and markets on Trump’s next appointees.
This latest partnership is laying the groundwork for ubiquitous Kalshi markets during the midterm elections.
Here’s a look at some of the initial market integrations:
How election trading became legal
Kalshi has been able to launch election markets since October 2024, after it won its lawsuit against its regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Kalshi brought the suit in November 2023 after the CFTC ran the clock out on its election contract submissions before the 2022 midterms.
Since Kalshi’s legal victory, other platforms like ForecastEx, Interactive Brokers’ prediction market platform, have launched political contracts. ForecastEx focuses on long-term markets, so it doesn’t include the many electoral college and margin of victory markets that Kalshi has launched.
However, one platform has offered political and election contracts since 2014. PredictIt, an academic prediction market platform, settled its own lawsuit against the CFTC earlier this summer. The CFTC revoked its no-action letter in 2022 but failed to specifically list the violations PredictIt made that led to the revocation.
Now, PredictIt is set to relaunch its exchange in October 2025 after receiving a license to become a CFTC-regulated exchange.
Boom years for prediction markets
On top of the expansion of commercial prediction markets, Polymarket is set to make its return to the United States. Polymarket had to block U.S. traders starting in 2022 and pay a $1.4 million fine for operating as an unlicensed exchange.
The Trump administration’s embrace of crypto has accelerated Polymarket’s return. And his family ties to the prediction market industry are out in the open. Donald Trump Jr. is an advisor now for both Polymarket and Kalshi.
Prediction markets offer a forecasting mechanism devoid of experts or academic models. Market-based solutions to misinformation that prediction markets pride themselves on align with the populist views embedded within the MAGA movement.
For the 2026 midterms and beyond, VoteHub and Kalshi integrations will provide election traders more integrated data points to help inform their trading positions in real time.
