Video Game Prediction Markets: An Introduction

There are many ways to improve your predictions for Metacritic markets. Some top strategy tips for trading on this market include:

• Consider the past critical reception of games made by the publisher.
• Examine how the publisher has performed in a similar genre.
• Look at how games in that genre are typically received by critics.
• Lastly, take a look at early social media reactions; are they mostly positive or negative?

For the awards markets, learn everything you can about the category.

• Who are all the nominees, and what are their receptions?
• Scout social media, critical reviews, podcasts, and so on to see where the reception was warmest and draw your predictions from there.

In general, for all predictions, avoid relying solely on a single source. If you have a favorite video game streamer or podcast, their opinion should not be the only one you consider.

Step outside your niche and consume a variety of information sources. This can lead to a more comprehensive understanding and better predictions.

Another important tip is to listen to the experts, not just casual gamers. Casual gamers are less likely to have a good grasp of which games are forecasted winners in an award category or will receive strong critical reception. Experts have been in the industry for years and have an eye for what will perform well.

Lastly, popularity doesn’t necessarily mean a game is good. If you have a favorite game, that’s wonderful, but it doesn’t inherently mean the game will be well-received. If all your friends are playing a game, it doesn’t necessarily make the game a Game of the Year contender.

Step outside your circle of friends and dig into what experts and others are saying about the game. Most importantly, do your research before trading in any financial market, including on video game prediction markets.