UPDATE: After this story was published, the listing dates on all four of Polymarket US’s self-certification filings were updated. The filings now say that Polymarket “intends to list the Product(s) no earlier than October 2, 2025,” indicating the platform could go live even sooner.
Polymarket has begun self-certifying event contracts, the latest indication that the prediction market platform’s return to the U.S. is imminent.
Polymarket has been posting its regulatory filings with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the website for QCX LLC, the CFTC-approved exchange and clearinghouse it purchased this summer for $112 million to facilitate a U.S. relaunch.
The first self-certifications are dated Sept. 30. Of the first four self-certifications filed, three are for sports event outcomes, while a fourth is for election winners. That’s fitting, as those types of contracts have been the leading trade volume drivers at Polymarket and its soon-to-be biggest U.S. competitor, Kalshi.
Polymarket self-certifies sports, election contracts
The three sports event contracts Polymarket has self-certified are for game winners, point spreads and point totals. The sports contract filings are listed as:
The election contract self-certification filing is under the name Election Winner Event Contracts.
Each filing includes the CFTC-required rules, terms, and conditions for each contract, as well as “a concise explanation and analysis demonstrating that the Products comply with the Commodity Exchange Act” and other regulations.
Along with details related to pricing, trading hours, position accountability and position limits, Polymarket’s first contract self-certifications also include some details about resolution sources. For the election contracts, the filing states that to determine outcomes, Polymarket will use “any publicly available data from official election authorities or recognized news organizations that Polymarket US determines to be appropriate.”
For the resolution of sports contracts, Polymarket reveals that it has a license with SportsdataIO, an established sports data provider that works with a wide range of sports gaming companies, including DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics, Underdog, Sleeper, and Betr.
Polymarket eyeing early October U.S. relaunch?
The event contract self-certifications also suggest a Polymarket US launch could come as soon as next week. Each of the filings state that Polymarket “intends to list the Product(s) no earlier than October 7, 2025.”
Traders have been eagerly awaiting Polymarket’s return to the U.S., ever since the QCX acquisition provided a legal, compliant path for the relaunch. A final regulatory hurdle was overcome when the CFTC issued a no-action letter that exempted QCX from certain reporting and record-keeping requirements.
Polymarket and some of its team members over the past couple of weeks have been teasing on social media that the U.S. app will be available soon. Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber posted on X yesterday that the company was skipping the TOKEN2049 crypto conference in Singapore to focus on the U.S. launch.
Heads down focused on the U.S app launch in the coming weeks! Polymarket will be on-site in Dubai next year…with some big announcements. https://t.co/AvnlSHgYMn
— Matthew Modabber (@MatthewModabber) September 30, 2025
A launch on or around Oct. 7 would mean the markets would be live in time for NFL’s Week 6. Football has been a huge volume and revenue driver for Kalshi, but competition is on the way.
