Campaign season can be tough to keep up on, especially with constant campaign ads and conflicting media reports. Prediction markets cut through the noise and provide a real-time update on how real money markets are pricing each candidate’s implied odds of winning.
See below current odds for the top trending election markets.
All eyes are on the NYC mayoral election, despite the Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani having a commanding lead since he defeated Andrew Cuomo in the primary. Here are the updated race odds:
New traders should keep a few things in mind before diving into election betting.
First, don’t spend more than you can afford to lose. America’s legal election markets are volatile financial instruments whose value can change as rapidly as the state of a political race. Traders who find themselves chasing losses should use one of the consumer protection features, like limiting their bets or time sizes on a prediction market platform. However, the availability of consumer protection features varies across platforms, so traders should remain aware of their options.
Next, new traders should get some idea of the reasons supporting “Yes” and “No” positions in an election market. Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of each position provides a better idea of whether a market price is reasonable and what a better one could be if it isn’t.
Finally, be aware of how quickly the odds of an event occurring can change. Event contract prices react so quickly because new information can transform the way an event’s likelihood is viewed, like the aftermath of Joe Biden’s debate against Donald Trump.
Prediction markets can be used for financial hedging, exposure, forecasting, or entertainment. No one should bankrupt themselves over these contracts.
Election Betting in the U.S. » Trade on Election Markets
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Chris is the senior political reporter and industry analyst at PredictionNews. He specializes in the ever-changing political betting markets, while also covering the emerging prediction market industry. Previously, he was the lead writer at Catena Media, where he contrasted the parallels between sports betting and prediction markets. Chris also is a political contributor for The Center Square.
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