As the weekend arrives, millions will fire up their TVs, open a streaming app like Netflix, and inevitably waste far too much time deciding what to watch.
Meanwhile, thanks to pioneering prediction markets like Kalshi, a subset of traders is actually making real-money predictions on what TV and Movies will top the charts.
Here are the most popular and anticipated picks heading into the weekend, according to the wisdom of the crowd.
Life List
A woman finds her childhood bucket list and—after some life turbulence—actually starts crossing things off. Think: Eat Pray Love, but with better pacing and a few emotional gut-punches. Expect soul-searching, spontaneous travel, and some surprisingly sharp writing for a feel-good flick. It was No. 1 last week and is an overwhelming favorite to maintain its throne.
- Kalshi says: 91% to be Top Movie
One of Them Days
The kind of movie that kicks off with a chaotic morning, a missed alarm, and spirals into a “how is this still the same day?” vibe. A funny, grounded, wildly relatable ride through one woman’s series of unfortunate (and hilarious) events. It’s been out for a few days and hasn’t yet knocked off Life List on Netflix’s daily rankings, but you can’t totally rule out a film starring SZA and Keke Palmer.
- Kalshi says: 4% to be Top Movie
Now, let’s move on to shows…
Gone Girls: The Long Island Serial Killer
A chilling true crime doc that doesn’t glamorize the killer, but centers the victims and their families. It’s investigative, emotional, and has that “just one more episode” momentum. If you liked The Night Stalker or Crime Scene: The Vanishing at the Cecil Hotel, this one’s for you.
- Kalshi says: 78% to be Top Show
Pulse: Season 1
Grey’s Anatomy meets The Morning Show. This buzzy hospital drama centers on a young resident who blows the whistle on a senior doctor—and all the professional fallout that follows. Messy workplace politics, moral dilemmas, and enough heart-monitor beeping to raise your blood pressure.
- Kalshi says: 22% to be Top Show
Devil May Cry: Season 1
The demon-slaying legend is back—with anime flair and all the sword-slinging, gun-blazing chaos fans of the video game love. Dante’s stylish, cocky, and borderline invincible, and the show leans all the way into the absurd, action-packed fun. Great weekend binge for your inner 2000s gamer.
- Kalshi says: 10% to be Top Show
Adolescence’
In what may be Netflix’s hit of the year (thus far), a small-town teen is accused of murder, and what follows is less about the crime and more about the ripple effects on everyone around him. It’s a slow burn—moody, sharp, and packed with moral ambiguity. If you liked The Sinner, add this to your list. Adolescence was No. 1 in back-to-back weeks, attracting much attention while stirring difficult but important conversations across social media platforms.
- Kalshi says: 1% to be Top Show
Million Dollar Secret
Imagine The Mole and Deal or No Deal had a scheming little baby. One player has a million bucks. The others have to sniff them out. It won’t be the top show when Netflix’s new rankings drop, but it’s tailor-made for reality TV fans who love chaos, alliances, and backstabbing. This is basically Netflix’s response to Peacock’s The Traitors.
- Kalshi says: 1% to be Top Show
