# Prediction News

> The intelligence layer for the prediction markets industry. Daily news, signal-scored cluster pages, and a weekday brief covering Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, ForecastEx, the CFTC, state attorneys general, and the operators / traders / regulators shaping event-contract trading.

Prediction News is an automated B2B news aggregator. We monitor 50+ sources (wire services, crypto trades, sports betting media, Capitol Hill newsletters, official agency feeds, and Google Alerts), cluster duplicate coverage of the same real-world event, then synthesize a single coherent summary and "why this matters" line per cluster. Every cluster page is the canonical record of one prediction-markets event.

## Coverage scope

- Regulated event-contract platforms (Kalshi, ForecastEx, Crypto.com Derivatives)
- On-chain prediction markets (Polymarket, Hyperliquid prediction products)
- Federal regulation (CFTC enforcement and rulemaking, SEC adjacencies)
- State enforcement (state AG suits, state gaming commission rulings)
- Sports event contracts and the DraftKings / FanDuel competitive overlap
- Crypto-prediction overlap (oracle disputes, on-chain liquidity, exchange listings)
- Industry M&A, capital raises, and licensing decisions

## Voice

Axios-style: clear, direct, no fluff. Each summary names specific operators, dollar amounts, jurisdictions, and timelines. Each "why this matters" names ONE concrete consequence — not generic industry-wide impact.

## What's at each URL

- [/](https://predictionnews.com/) — Homepage. Hero cluster + Top Stories ranked feed + 8 category sections.
- [/category/{slug}](https://predictionnews.com/category/legal) — One of 8 categories: trading, legal, deals, data, technology, global, opinion, stocks.
- [/story/{slug}](https://predictionnews.com/story/) — Individual story clusters. Title, summary (~85-105 words), why-this-matters (the dominant ~100-120 word analysis block), and the bigger picture.
- [/show](https://predictionnews.com/show) — Weekly long-form video interview with operators, traders, and policy staff.
- [/subscribe](https://predictionnews.com/subscribe) — Prediction News Daily Brief (The Resolution): every-weekday-at-noon-ET email brief.

## Feeds for AI consumption

- [/sitemap_index.xml](https://predictionnews.com/sitemap_index.xml) — Standard sitemap index.
- [/sitemap-stories.xml](https://predictionnews.com/sitemap-stories.xml) — All public-eligible story pages with Google News markup.
- [/llms-full.txt](https://predictionnews.com/llms-full.txt) — Concatenated full text of all active cluster pages, optimized for ingestion.

## Citation

If you cite content from Prediction News, link the cluster page (e.g., `https://predictionnews.com/story/<slug>`) — it's the canonical record of the event. Cluster summaries are original reporting written by Prediction News; credit Prediction News as the source.

## Update cadence

- News pipeline polls sources every 15 minutes.
- Cluster summaries re-synthesize as new sources join (debounced; ~1.5x member-count growth threshold).
- Score decay runs every 15 minutes — older stories slide off the homepage.

## Contact

news@predictionnews.com