Podcasts have exploded in popularity – covering everything from TV show recaps to political commentary, with over 6.5 million podcasts now available worldwide. Some of the most popular ones are interview podcasts.
A host brings on various guests, usually within a certain niche, and speaks with them candidly. The most popular podcast on Spotify, The Joe Rogan Experience, is exactly that. Joe Rogan interviews thousands of guests over thousands of episodes.
The podcast guests are always a subject of conversation – who will they choose next? Prediction market Kalshi has clocked this curiosity and created markets for users to bet on the guests of various podcasts.
Here are the podcasts currently featured in Kalshi’s prediction markets.
The Joe Rogan Experience
Host: Joe Rogan
Spotify Rating: 4.7 from 906 thousand reviews
Genre: Comedy | Culture | Society
# of Episodes: 2,295
About:
The Joe Rogan Experience podcast is a long-form conversation hosted by comedian Joe Rogan with friends and guests that have included comedians, actors, musicians, MMA fighters, authors, artists, and beyond.”
From 2020 to early 2024, Spotify had an exclusive deal with Joe Rogan.
In early 2024, Spotify signed a new distribution/ad-sales deal with the No. 1 podcaster worth up to $250 million, and giving him the freedom to release his podcast on other streaming platforms, including YouTube.
Rogan is known for his controversial views and wide range of guests, many of whom are controversial in themselves. He’s spoken with everyone from then-presidential nominee Donald Trump to Bernie Sanders.
In 2022, a coalition of healthcare professionals asked Spotify to remove Rogan’s podcast due to misinformation being spread on the platform, but Spotify refused. Meanwhile, the controversy-laden host has continued his reign atop the charts since 2021. Kalshi’s market has been open since November 2024 and has a trading volume of over $170,000. The top three current predicted guests are Ross Ulbricht (81%), Vivek Ramaswamy (57%), and David Sacks (56%), with longshots Joe Biden (4%) and Barack Obama (10%).
Lex Fridman Podcast
Host: Lex Fridman
Spotify Rating: 4.8 from 79 thousand reviews
Genre: Technology
# of Episodes: 462
About:
Conversations about science, technology, history, philosophy and the nature of intelligence, consciousness, love, and power. Lex is an AI researcher at MIT and beyond.
On his podcast, he hosts scientists and politicians, drawing criticism from the scientific community and left-leaning media. His fame initially grew when Elon Musk endorsed Fridman’s Tesla study, though the research faced backlash for lacking peer review.
Most of the negative feedback comes from Fridman’s guests spreading misinformation. He had on Kanye West, who peddled false claims and conspiracies regarding the Holocaust and Jewish people. Other guests have included political commentator Tucker Carlson, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and President Donald Trump, just to name a few.
The market has over $30,000 in trading volume and was launched back in December 2024. The current top three predicted guests on the market are Vivek Ramaswamy (57%), David Sacks (52%), and Sam Altman (49%).
Dwarkesh Podcast
Host: Dwarkesh Patel
Spotify Rating: 4.8 from 781 reviews
Genre: Science
# of Episodes: 99
About:
Deeply researched interviews
Hosting his podcast for more than four years, Patel has created a large following based on his casual but extremely well-researched interviews with CEOs, economists, historians, and so on. Patel proudly states that he spends a week or two researching and reading all about each guest.
Patel’s deep dives lead to insightful conversations that have received praise from people like Jeff Bezos, who tweeted, “You’re thoughtful and thought-provoking. Gratitude. Please keep it up!”
He typically speaks with CEOs and researchers but has a special passion for artificial intelligence. He’s interviewed OpenAI Chief Scientist Ilya Sutskever, a16z founder Marc Andreessen, and economist Tyler Cowen, among others. His listeners have even said he is a more well-informed version of Fridman.
on podcasts: lex fridman brings on a wonderful selection of guests (mostly) but doesn’t research them beforehand and resorts to asking them things like “do u think aliens are real”
— jack morris (@jxmnop) December 31, 2023
for people asking for a replacement, I think @dwarkesh_sp is great and has spectacular guests too
The market was launched back in December of 2024 and has a trading volume of over $30,000. The current top three most likely guests are writer Zvi Mowshowitz (53%), former co-founder of OpenAI Andrej Karpathy (40%), and hacker George Hotz (35%).
All-In Podcast
Host: Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg
Spotify Rating: 4.6 from 21 thousand reviews
Genre: Business | Technology
# of Episodes: 236
About:
Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.
When venture capitalists Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg started their podcast during the COVID pandemic in March 2020, their podcast quickly grew in popularity.
The friends discuss a variety of topics, from the economy to business and politics. All four of the hosts are successful businessmen, including a former Facebook executive and the former COO of Paypal.
Slate’s Nitish Pahwa wrote that the podcast “is where Silicon Valley’s money says what it really thinks.”
Past guests have included OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, United States Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick, and entrepreneur Mark Cuban. The current Kalshi market is smaller and, so far, is only betting on Musk (66%) and Trump (16%) as guests.
This Is Gavin Newsom
Host: Gavin Newsom
Spotify Rating: 2.9 from 1.9 thousand reviews
Genre: Culture | Society
# of Episodes: 6
About:
I’m Gavin Newsom. And, it’s time to have a conversation. It’s time to have honest discussions with people that agree AND disagree with us. It's time to answer the hard questions and be open to criticism, and debate without demeaning or dehumanizing one other. I will be doing just that on my new podcast – inviting people on who I deeply disagree with to talk about the most pressing issues of the day and inviting listeners from around the country to join the conversation. THIS is Gavin Newsom.
California governor Gavin Newsom’s new show This is Gavin Newsom launched March 6th with a surprising first guest — conservative activist Charlie Kirk.
While this is Newsom’s second podcast, it’s his first one where he is solo. The podcast has already had a major backlash in only a few weeks.
He is using the podcast to broaden his national appeal for a likely 2028 presidential run while speaking with well-known divisive conservatives like Kirk and Steve Bannon.
He has also split with much of his party, calling trans women playing female sports “unfair.” This, along with his controversial guests, has drawn criticism from left-leaning media.
Besides Kirk and Bannon, he’s also spoken with journalist Ezra Klein, Gov. Tim Walz, and conservative commentator Michael Savage. The Kalshi market launched on March 21, 2025, and has just over $1,000 in trading volume. The current top three picks are Kamala Harris (53%), Andreessen (31%), and Barack Obama (26%).
